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The Hermit Empire of the Publishing Industry

Andrew Johnston
8 min readDec 1, 2022

Photo by Markus Winkler on Unsplash

Today, I’d like to talk about rejection.

And I don’t mean in that ridiculous “failure is the best thing that ever happened to me” nonsense you get from the success blogger set, either. I’m talking numbers here — the nuts and bolts.

I believe that the publishing industry in general is sealing itself off, and it is those raw numbers that tell the tale.

I began seriously seeking publication in 2014, and the first manuscript I sent out had a request rate of exactly 2.5%. That would be the proportion of agents I queried who subsequently asked to see it.

For those of you who aren’t keyed in to the business: 2.5% sucks. You’ll often hear the number 10% thrown around — this is the request rate for a manuscript that is likely to see publication. The assumption is that a lower number means that’s there no market for what you’re trying to sell, so even if you get representation you’ll probably never find a publisher.

Now, I could dispute this number from either direction. The people I know who get published are getting numbers much higher than this — 25% to 35%, in my experience. On the other hand, most people seem to get numbers far less than this (under 1%), to the point where 2.5% seems to be above average.

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Andrew Johnston
Andrew Johnston

Written by Andrew Johnston

Writer of fiction, documentarian, currently stranded in Asia. Learn more at www.findthefabulist.com.

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The publishing industry is perhaps the strangest industry in the world. Sharks feeding on dreams, but finding most of these dreams not quite bloody enough to be worth the effort of devouring.